Beta Opens May 15

EdgedUp

A prediction market tool that finds pricing errors before you do.

We called UConn underpriced at 13.5%. The market moved to 32%.
We called Hormuz light at 43%. It closed at 63%. Then it happened.
+0.0¢

That's edge — the gap between what the market thinks and what the math says.

You're on the list. We'll be in touch.

First 100 members get Pro free forever. No credit card.

For Polymarket and Kalshi traders.

@EdgedUpApp
The Receipts

This Week's Calls

UConn Championship
Our Call
21.9%
Market
13.5%
Made final ✓
Hormuz Deadline Extension
Our Call
43% light
Market
63% at close
Extended ✓
Inverse Cramer (CRM/NOW)
Our Call
Bearish
Cramer
Bullish
Down 5%+ ✓
Gold vs BTC vs S&P 2026
Our Call
Gold leads
Market
BTC favored
Gold winning ✓

Three tiers. One gap.

The prediction market tool landscape has two tiers. We're creating the third.

Tier 1 · Data Display

See the market

Price alerts, whale tracking, leaderboards, portfolio views. Necessary, but commoditized at $0–15/mo.

Oddpool · Polymarket Analytics
Hashdive · PolyTrader
Tier 2 · AI Analysis

Read about it

AI-generated research, news summaries, sentiment scores. Useful context, but limited actionable edge.

Polyfactual · Polytrader AI
Various research bots
Tier 3 · Quant Simulation

Find the edge

Monte Carlo pricing, particle filters, copula correlation, tail-risk analysis. Institutional tools, individual access.

EdgedUp
What's under the hood

The simulation engine.

AI-POWERED ANALYSIS

Fed Holds Rates · June 2026

AI thesis + 50,000 Monte Carlo paths · Polymarket CLOB

  • • March CPI below expectations supports a hold
  • • Powell's testimony emphasized data-dependency
  • • Labor market cooling reduces urgency to cut
72.4¢
Fair Value
+4.1¢
Edge vs. Market
0.847
Brier Score
−12.3¢
Tail Risk (5th)
8.2%
Kelly Fraction
ANALYZE

AI Edge Thesis

Ask AI to analyze any market. Get an informed probability estimate with reasoning — then run 50,000 simulations to validate the edge. One click from 'I wonder...' to 'I know.'

SIMULATE

Monte Carlo Engine

Run 50,000 paths per contract. Get fair value estimates, full probability distributions, and confidence intervals — not just a single price.

EXECUTE

Price Impact Simulator

Know exactly what you'll pay before you trade. See how your order moves the market, your real average fill price, and the optimal position size to maximize profit.

A NEW CATEGORY

Tier 3: Quantitative Simulation

Every existing prediction market tool shows you data (Tier 1) or AI summaries (Tier 2). EdgedUp is the first to combine AI analysis with quantitative simulation and execution planning. We don't just show you what the market thinks. We show you where the market is wrong, why it's wrong, and exactly how to profit from it.

Stay EdgedUp.

We're building. Join the waitlist and be first to trade with a quantitative edge.

You're on the list. We'll be in touch.

Beta opens May 15. First 100 members get Pro free forever. No credit card.

For Polymarket and Kalshi traders.